NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Monday 26 October 2026

Trading day 2026-10-26

Market Snapshot

SA records 16 hours of negative prices as NEM average hits $84.5

Regional average prices ranged from $73.5/MWh in TAS to $100.7/MWh in QLD, with no regions recording cap intervals. SA experienced 16.0 hours of negative prices, and VIC recorded 13.2 hours.

QLD recorded the highest demand peak of 8476 MW at 18:20, and NSW reached a peak demand of 8380 MW at 17:55.

Coal contributed 47.6 per cent of the generation mix, followed by rooftop solar at 18.0 per cent and wind at 13.3 per cent. The renewable share averaged 47.3 per cent, while batteries discharged 16961 MWh with a net position of negative 3577 MWh.

The highest FCAS cost was regulation raise at $34886, peaking at $40/MW in TAS. Total emissions were 300590 tonnes of carbon dioxide, 9.3 per cent above the same weekday last week.

Today · Pre-dispatch forecasts show prices peaking at $225.79/MWh in QLD at 22:30, with NSW reaching $219.43/MWh at the same time.

In context · The NEM average price of $84.5/MWh ranked sixth for the week, remaining below the seven-day average of $92.2/MWh. The average compares with a NEM average of $62.8/MWh recorded on the same weekday last week.

NSW $99VIC $75QLD $101SA $75TAS $74
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $43 $85 $128 $170 -$20 $25 $70 $115 $160 $0 $43 $85 $128 $170 -$70 -$10 $50 $110 $170 -$20 $23 $65 $108 $150 05:00 11:00 17:00 23:00 05:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $99 $103 $0 $169 0 0
QLD $101 $104 $0 $166 0 0
SA $75 $98 -$101 $170 192 0
VIC $75 $83 -$20 $161 158 0
TAS $74 $77 -$15 $149 118 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
8,380MW
18:55
Trough
4,289MW
14:20
Energy
323.9GWh
QLD
Peak
8,476MW
19:20
Trough
4,595MW
11:20
Energy
308.3GWh
SA
Peak
1,481MW
20:35
Trough
198MW
15:30
Energy
47.7GWh
VIC
Peak
6,679MW
20:05
Trough
3,626MW
12:50
Energy
240.9GWh
TAS
Peak
1,246MW
20:40
Trough
875MW
13:30
Energy
50.5GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,7570$1626 Oct, 17:25
LOWERREG$1,6550$2526 Oct, 17:15
LOWER60SEC$3030$026 Oct, 16:15
LOWER5MIN$1720$126 Oct, 17:00
RAISE6SEC$1000$026 Oct, 23:05
RAISE60SEC$810$026 Oct, 23:20
LOWER6SEC$580$026 Oct, 15:15
RAISE5MIN$200$027 Oct, 00:35
Total$7,146

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
LOWERREG$6,2140$2526 Oct, 17:15
RAISEREG$6,0790$1626 Oct, 17:25
LOWER60SEC$5110$026 Oct, 16:15
LOWER5MIN$3590$126 Oct, 17:00
RAISE6SEC$2210$026 Oct, 23:05
LOWER6SEC$1660$026 Oct, 15:15
RAISE60SEC$1630$026 Oct, 23:20
RAISE5MIN$250$027 Oct, 00:35
Total$13,739

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$8,4500$1626 Oct, 17:25
LOWERREG$4,7300$2526 Oct, 17:15
RAISE6SEC$2190$026 Oct, 23:05
LOWER60SEC$2040$026 Oct, 16:15
RAISE60SEC$1820$026 Oct, 23:20
LOWER5MIN$790$126 Oct, 17:00
LOWER6SEC$580$026 Oct, 15:15
RAISE5MIN$480$027 Oct, 00:35
Total$13,969

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$2,9030$1626 Oct, 17:25
LOWERREG$1,9980$2526 Oct, 17:15
LOWER60SEC$3390$026 Oct, 16:15
RAISE6SEC$1990$026 Oct, 23:05
LOWER5MIN$1930$126 Oct, 17:00
RAISE60SEC$1540$026 Oct, 23:20
LOWER6SEC$1150$026 Oct, 15:15
RAISE5MIN$340$027 Oct, 00:35
Total$5,934

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$12,6980$4026 Oct, 18:30
LOWERREG$4,3810$9226 Oct, 16:55
RAISE6SEC$6900$326 Oct, 19:05
RAISE60SEC$6100$026 Oct, 05:05
LOWER6SEC$1110$326 Oct, 18:55
LOWER5MIN$540$226 Oct, 18:55
LOWER60SEC$500$026 Oct, 16:15
RAISE5MIN$140$026 Oct, 19:00
Total$18,607

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,131 MW at 20:00 as NSW spot hit $128/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,393 MW at 19:30 as QLD spot hit $143/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 524 MW at 06:30 as VIC spot hit $100/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 453 MW at 08:00 as SA spot hit $119/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 2,747 MW at 19:30 as TAS spot hit $126/MWh.

Discharged
6,234MWh
peak 1,131 MW · 20:00
Charged
8,776MWh
peak 1,812 MW
Net
-2,542MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
71%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
5,494MWh
peak 1,393 MW · 19:30
Charged
5,347MWh
peak 1,050 MW
Net
+147MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
103%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
3,143MWh
peak 524 MW · 06:30
Charged
4,690MWh
peak 999 MW
Net
-1,547MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
67%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
2,090MWh
peak 453 MW · 08:00
Charged
1,725MWh
peak 360 MW
Net
+365MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
121%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
16,961MWh
peak 2,747 MW · 19:30
Charged
20,538MWh
peak 3,570 MW
Net
-3,577MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
83%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW-$100$0$100$20000:3007:3714:4521:5205:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1NSW
6,234MWh
-2,542
#2QLD
5,494MWh
+147
#3VIC
3,143MWh
-1,547
#4SA
2,090MWh
+365

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 46.3%
  • Coal46.3% · 98.5 GWh
  • Gas1.8% · 3.9 GWh
  • Hydro3.3% · 7.0 GWh
  • Wind11.4% · 24.2 GWh
  • Solar (utility)15.8% · 33.6 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)18.6% · 39.6 GWh
  • Battery2.9% · 6.2 GWh
TOP FUEL 60.3%
  • Coal60.3% · 122.9 GWh
  • Gas0.7% · 1.4 GWh
  • Hydro2.8% · 5.7 GWh
  • Wind6.1% · 12.5 GWh
  • Solar (utility)10.3% · 21.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)17.1% · 34.8 GWh
  • Battery2.7% · 5.5 GWh
  • Other0.1% · 0.2 GWh
TOP FUEL 49.4%
  • Coal49.4% · 84.5 GWh
  • Gas0.8% · 1.3 GWh
  • Hydro4.2% · 7.2 GWh
  • Wind20.4% · 35.0 GWh
  • Solar (utility)8.0% · 13.7 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)15.3% · 26.2 GWh
  • Battery1.8% · 3.1 GWh
TOP FUEL 42.9%
  • Gas25.6% · 7.8 GWh
  • Wind18.6% · 5.7 GWh
  • Solar (utility)4.9% · 1.5 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)42.9% · 13.1 GWh
  • Battery6.9% · 2.1 GWh
  • Other1.1% · 0.3 GWh
TOP FUEL 61.2%
  • Hydro61.2% · 15.5 GWh
  • Wind31.3% · 7.9 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)7.6% · 1.9 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0010.7 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0010.7 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:008.1 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:001.9 GW 0
hydrowindsolar rooftop
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:001.7 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
51.4%
VIC · Daily renewable share
54.5%
QLD · Daily renewable share
40.2%
SA · Daily renewable share
56.7%
TAS · Daily renewable share
85.5%
Peak instantaneous
74.7%
at 12:45
Daily NEM-wide share
47.3%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    51.4%
  • VIC
    54.5%
  • QLD
    40.2%
  • SA
    56.7%
  • TAS
    85.5%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +4.2 GWh 26 —
NSW1-QLD1 −3.4 GWh 18 —
VIC1-NSW1 +20.4 GWh 29 —
V-SA −15.5 GWh 4 —
T-V-MNSP1 −3.5 GWh 0 —

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
300.6k tCO₂
▲ 9.3% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 87.5k tCO₂ 0.404 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 108.6k tCO₂ 0.527 tCO₂/MWh
SA 3.8k tCO₂ 0.121 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 100.7k tCO₂ 0.588 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 0 tCO₂ 0.000 tCO₂/MWh