NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Monday 17 August 2026

Trading day 2026-08-17

Market Snapshot

NEM average prices drop as renewables reach forty-four percent share

Regional average prices were tightly clustered between forty-six dollars and ninety cents in Tasmania and fifty-eight dollars and fifty cents in New South Wales. Negative pricing occurred in Victoria, South Australia, and Tasmania, with Victoria recording twelve negative intervals and a minimum price of negative eight dollars and fifty cents.

System demand peaked in New South Wales at ten thousand nine hundred and fifty-two megawatts during the evening peak at eighteen twenty-five. Queensland and South Australia also saw evening peaks, while Victoria and Tasmania reached their maximum demand during the morning period.

Renewable generation reached an instantaneous peak of sixty-three percent at thirteen hundred hours, supported by a combined solar contribution of nearly eighteen percent. Coal provided fifty-two percent of the mix, while batteries discharged over eighteen gigawatt hours despite a net negative energy position.

Frequency control costs were highest in the regulation services, with Tasmania recording peak prices of twenty-three dollars for both raise and lower regulation. Total daily emissions fell by over two percent compared to the same day last week, settling at three hundred and forty-eight thousand tonnes.

Today · Pre-dispatch forecasts indicate a significant price peak in Queensland of three hundred and nineteen dollars at nineteen thirty.

Why it matters · The daily average of fifty-one dollars and sixty cents places the market well below the weekly average of sixty-seven dollars, breaking a recent three-day run of higher prices. This price softening occurred alongside a forty-four percent renewable share and negative pricing in three regions, despite coal maintaining a majority share of the generation mix.

NSW $59VIC $48QLD $49SA $49TAS $47
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3-flash-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 04:00 10:00 16:00 22:00 04:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $59 $60 $8 $90 0 0
QLD $49 $52 $0 $89 0 0
SA $49 $51 -$7 $88 4 0
VIC $48 $52 -$9 $91 12 0
TAS $47 $49 -$9 $89 10 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
10,952MW
18:25
Trough
6,928MW
04:05
Energy
418.7GWh
QLD
Peak
7,885MW
18:15
Trough
4,455MW
11:05
Energy
289.4GWh
SA
Peak
2,110MW
18:45
Trough
1,284MW
04:05
Energy
78.4GWh
VIC
Peak
7,689MW
07:55
Trough
4,151MW
14:10
Energy
282.3GWh
TAS
Peak
1,399MW
07:40
Trough
926MW
03:25
Energy
53.8GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$6,4910$1818 Aug, 01:55
LOWERREG$1,2310$817 Aug, 15:30
RAISE6SEC$2950$017 Aug, 16:40
RAISE60SEC$2840$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER60SEC$1540$017 Aug, 11:05
LOWER5MIN$810$017 Aug, 15:55
RAISE5MIN$590$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER6SEC$370$017 Aug, 11:15
Total$8,632

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$8,1200$1818 Aug, 01:55
LOWERREG$3,8430$817 Aug, 15:30
LOWER60SEC$2620$017 Aug, 11:05
RAISE6SEC$2080$017 Aug, 16:40
RAISE60SEC$1840$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER5MIN$920$017 Aug, 15:55
LOWER6SEC$440$017 Aug, 11:15
RAISE5MIN$260$017 Aug, 16:40
Total$12,780

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$6,8960$1818 Aug, 01:55
LOWERREG$3,1960$817 Aug, 15:30
RAISE60SEC$5660$017 Aug, 16:40
RAISE6SEC$5180$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER60SEC$1640$017 Aug, 11:05
RAISE5MIN$1240$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER5MIN$440$017 Aug, 15:55
LOWER6SEC$340$017 Aug, 11:15
Total$11,542

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,2870$1818 Aug, 01:55
LOWERREG$4,0050$817 Aug, 15:30
RAISE6SEC$4110$017 Aug, 16:40
RAISE60SEC$3750$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER60SEC$2670$017 Aug, 11:05
LOWER5MIN$980$017 Aug, 15:55
RAISE5MIN$740$017 Aug, 16:40
LOWER6SEC$620$017 Aug, 11:15
Total$9,580

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$9,3090$2317 Aug, 16:30
LOWERREG$5,7960$2317 Aug, 14:10
LOWER6SEC$7360$517 Aug, 16:35
RAISE60SEC$7190$317 Aug, 08:40
RAISE6SEC$6990$317 Aug, 16:25
LOWER60SEC$3250$017 Aug, 04:05
RAISE5MIN$390$118 Aug, 02:35
LOWER5MIN$110$017 Aug, 06:10
Total$17,634

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,683 MW at 18:30 as NSW spot hit $84/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,248 MW at 18:30 as QLD spot hit $81/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,073 MW at 19:00 as VIC spot hit $84/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 364 MW at 19:30 as SA spot hit $79/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 4,323 MW at 18:30 as TAS spot hit $79/MWh.

Discharged
6,321MWh
peak 1,683 MW · 18:30
Charged
6,193MWh
peak 1,004 MW
Net
+129MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
102%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
4,716MWh
peak 1,248 MW · 18:30
Charged
5,439MWh
peak 1,010 MW
Net
-723MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
87%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
5,483MWh
peak 1,073 MW · 19:00
Charged
5,729MWh
peak 962 MW
Net
-245MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
96%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
2,152MWh
peak 364 MW · 19:30
Charged
1,833MWh
peak 399 MW
Net
+320MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
117%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
18,673MWh
peak 4,323 MW · 18:30
Charged
19,193MWh
peak 2,828 MW
Net
-520MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
97%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW6.0 GW$0$50$10023:3006:3713:4520:5204:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1NSW
6,321MWh
+129
#2VIC
5,483MWh
-245
#3QLD
4,716MWh
-723
#4SA
2,152MWh
+320

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 57.8%
  • Coal57.8% · 131.6 GWh
  • Gas0.5% · 1.1 GWh
  • Hydro4.8% · 11.0 GWh
  • Wind15.1% · 34.3 GWh
  • Solar (utility)10.1% · 23.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)8.4% · 19.2 GWh
  • Battery2.8% · 6.3 GWh
  • Other0.5% · 1.0 GWh
TOP FUEL 56.8%
  • Coal56.8% · 111.4 GWh
  • Gas1.5% · 3.0 GWh
  • Hydro1.7% · 3.3 GWh
  • Wind15.3% · 30.1 GWh
  • Solar (utility)9.7% · 19.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)12.5% · 24.6 GWh
  • Battery2.4% · 4.7 GWh
  • Other0.1% · 0.2 GWh
TOP FUEL 63.3%
  • Coal63.3% · 109.8 GWh
  • Hydro2.0% · 3.4 GWh
  • Wind16.3% · 28.3 GWh
  • Solar (utility)4.6% · 8.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)10.6% · 18.4 GWh
  • Battery3.2% · 5.5 GWh
TOP FUEL 77.9%
  • Gas4.5% · 2.0 GWh
  • Wind77.9% · 34.5 GWh
  • Solar (utility)3.2% · 1.4 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)8.7% · 3.9 GWh
  • Battery4.9% · 2.2 GWh
  • Other0.7% · 0.3 GWh
TOP FUEL 77.1%
  • Gas12.0% · 3.7 GWh
  • Hydro77.1% · 23.9 GWh
  • Wind6.8% · 2.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)4.0% · 1.2 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:0012.3 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:009.7 GW 0
coalhydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:008.5 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:002.6 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:001.7 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
38.5%
VIC · Daily renewable share
37.1%
QLD · Daily renewable share
45.9%
SA · Daily renewable share
92.1%
TAS · Daily renewable share
85.7%
Peak instantaneous
63.3%
at 13:00
Daily NEM-wide share
44.4%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    38.5%
  • VIC
    37.1%
  • QLD
    45.9%
  • SA
    92.1%
  • TAS
    85.7%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +29.5 GWh 0
NSW1-QLD1 −31.2 GWh 8
VIC1-NSW1 +12.8 GWh 24
V-SA −5.5 GWh 11
T-V-MNSP1 −2.2 GWh 4

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
348.2k tCO₂
▼ 2.4% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 115.3k tCO₂ 0.501 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 99.2k tCO₂ 0.500 tCO₂/MWh
SA 875 tCO₂ 0.019 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 130.6k tCO₂ 0.742 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 2.2k tCO₂ 0.073 tCO₂/MWh