NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Tuesday 8 September 2026

Trading day 2026-09-08

Market Snapshot

New South Wales records highest average price amid rising emissions intensity

Regional average prices ranged from $55.00/MWh in Tasmania to $74.20/MWh in New South Wales, with no price cap violations recorded. Tasmania experienced the most significant volatility with fourteen negative price intervals and a minimum price of -$15.00/MWh. South Australia and Victoria each recorded two negative intervals, while Queensland and New South Wales remained positive throughout the day.

Coal dominated the generation mix at 49.4%, followed by combined solar contributions of 25.1% and wind at 11.5%. Hydro generation provided 7.1% of the total energy, while gas contributed 4.0% to the NEM supply. Total emissions reached 317,811 tonnes of CO2, reflecting a substantial increase over the previous week's levels.

Battery storage systems discharged 18,994 MWh into the grid, though the sector remained a net consumer with -3,498 MWh total net flow. FCAS costs were highest in the Lower Regulation and Raise Regulation services, with Tasmania and New South Wales seeing peak prices. Interconnector flows were most active between New South Wales and Queensland, with a net export of 58,545 MWh from the former.

Demand peaked across the NEM at various times, with Victoria and Tasmania reaching their maximums during the morning period. Queensland and South Australia followed the New South Wales trend with evening peaks between 18:15 and 19:00. Total energy consumption for the day was highest in New South Wales at 347.6 GWh.

Today · Forecasts indicate a peak price of $319.04/MWh in Queensland at 19:30, while New South Wales expects a high of $98.25/MWh.

Why it matters · The daily average of $71.10/MWh sits significantly above the 7-day average of $41.02/MWh, extending a three-day upward trend in market costs. This price elevation coincides with a 16.2% rise in emissions and a coal share near 50%, despite batteries providing 3.0% of total dispatch.

NSW $74VIC $60QLD $60SA $63TAS $55
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3-flash-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $40 $80 $120 $160 -$10 $30 $70 $110 $150 $0 $38 $75 $113 $150 $0 $38 $75 $113 $150 -$10 $25 $60 $95 $130 04:00 10:00 16:00 22:00 04:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $74 $78 $8 $191 0 0
QLD $60 $65 $4 $164 0 0
SA $63 $75 -$1 $178 2 0
VIC $60 $67 -$1 $166 2 0
TAS $55 $58 -$15 $136 14 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
9,215MW
18:50
Trough
5,463MW
13:35
Energy
347.6GWh
QLD
Peak
7,549MW
18:15
Trough
4,008MW
13:10
Energy
276.1GWh
SA
Peak
1,804MW
19:00
Trough
58MW
13:30
Energy
56.4GWh
VIC
Peak
7,192MW
07:20
Trough
3,261MW
13:35
Energy
253.4GWh
TAS
Peak
1,255MW
07:05
Trough
844MW
13:55
Energy
48.0GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$3,4600$208 Sept, 16:00
LOWERREG$1,5840$308 Sept, 15:35
LOWER60SEC$4080$68 Sept, 15:20
RAISE6SEC$3120$08 Sept, 06:30
RAISE60SEC$2420$08 Sept, 06:35
LOWER5MIN$1640$28 Sept, 15:15
LOWER6SEC$770$08 Sept, 14:20
RAISE5MIN$520$08 Sept, 06:15
Total$6,299

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$7,7570$208 Sept, 16:00
LOWERREG$7,3430$308 Sept, 15:35
RAISE6SEC$5480$08 Sept, 06:30
LOWER60SEC$4900$68 Sept, 15:20
RAISE60SEC$3980$08 Sept, 06:35
LOWER5MIN$2200$28 Sept, 15:15
LOWER6SEC$930$08 Sept, 14:20
RAISE5MIN$450$08 Sept, 06:15
Total$16,895

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$9,6500$208 Sept, 16:00
LOWERREG$5,5070$308 Sept, 15:35
RAISE6SEC$5140$08 Sept, 06:30
RAISE60SEC$4620$08 Sept, 06:35
LOWER60SEC$4160$68 Sept, 15:20
RAISE5MIN$1230$08 Sept, 06:15
LOWER5MIN$1050$28 Sept, 15:15
LOWER6SEC$1010$08 Sept, 14:20
Total$16,877

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,5740$208 Sept, 16:00
LOWERREG$4,5350$308 Sept, 15:35
RAISE60SEC$1,5670$59 Sept, 00:30
RAISE6SEC$1,0770$18 Sept, 22:25
RAISE5MIN$6740$39 Sept, 01:05
LOWER60SEC$6000$68 Sept, 15:20
LOWER5MIN$1950$28 Sept, 15:15
LOWER6SEC$1930$08 Sept, 08:35
Total$13,414

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
LOWERREG$9,2010$849 Sept, 03:05
RAISEREG$9,1140$58 Sept, 16:05
LOWER6SEC$5,9530$668 Sept, 10:20
RAISE60SEC$5980$39 Sept, 02:10
RAISE6SEC$3610$08 Sept, 06:30
LOWER60SEC$2810$18 Sept, 15:20
LOWER5MIN$510$28 Sept, 15:15
RAISE5MIN$440$19 Sept, 02:25
Total$25,602

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,332 MW at 18:30 as NSW spot hit $145/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,741 MW at 18:30 as QLD spot hit $124/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,019 MW at 19:30 as VIC spot hit $105/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 400 MW at 07:30 as SA spot hit $96/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 4,321 MW at 18:30 as TAS spot hit $118/MWh.

Discharged
5,643MWh
peak 1,332 MW · 18:30
Charged
8,477MWh
peak 1,468 MW
Net
-2,835MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
67%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
5,134MWh
peak 1,741 MW · 18:30
Charged
6,266MWh
peak 1,276 MW
Net
-1,133MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
82%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
6,292MWh
peak 1,019 MW · 19:30
Charged
6,088MWh
peak 1,180 MW
Net
+204MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
103%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
1,927MWh
peak 400 MW · 07:30
Charged
1,661MWh
peak 361 MW
Net
+265MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
116%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
18,994MWh
peak 4,321 MW · 18:30
Charged
22,493MWh
peak 4,094 MW
Net
-3,498MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
84%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-5.0 GW0 MW5.0 GW-$50$0$50$100$15023:3006:3713:4520:5204:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1VIC
6,292MWh
+204
#2NSW
5,643MWh
-2,835
#3QLD
5,134MWh
-1,133
#4SA
1,927MWh
+265

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 59.5%
  • Coal59.5% · 114.2 GWh
  • Gas0.7% · 1.3 GWh
  • Hydro2.3% · 4.3 GWh
  • Wind7.1% · 13.7 GWh
  • Solar (utility)11.9% · 22.9 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)15.6% · 30.0 GWh
  • Battery2.9% · 5.6 GWh
TOP FUEL 57.4%
  • Coal57.4% · 115.7 GWh
  • Gas1.8% · 3.7 GWh
  • Hydro2.0% · 4.0 GWh
  • Wind8.4% · 17.0 GWh
  • Solar (utility)12.3% · 24.7 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)15.5% · 31.2 GWh
  • Battery2.5% · 5.1 GWh
TOP FUEL 52.1%
  • Coal52.1% · 85.9 GWh
  • Gas5.4% · 8.9 GWh
  • Hydro8.1% · 13.4 GWh
  • Wind9.2% · 15.2 GWh
  • Solar (utility)6.6% · 10.9 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)14.6% · 24.1 GWh
  • Battery3.8% · 6.3 GWh
  • Other0.1% · 0.2 GWh
TOP FUEL 44.8%
  • Gas17.2% · 7.6 GWh
  • Wind44.8% · 19.8 GWh
  • Solar (utility)7.4% · 3.3 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)25.6% · 11.3 GWh
  • Battery4.4% · 1.9 GWh
  • Other0.6% · 0.3 GWh
TOP FUEL 63.6%
  • Gas11.4% · 4.2 GWh
  • Hydro63.6% · 23.5 GWh
  • Wind20.6% · 7.6 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)4.4% · 1.6 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:009.7 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:0010.5 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:008.5 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:002.4 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:001.8 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
34.6%
VIC · Daily renewable share
42.7%
QLD · Daily renewable share
45.7%
SA · Daily renewable share
86.7%
TAS · Daily renewable share
109.9%
Peak instantaneous
70.9%
at 11:25
Daily NEM-wide share
44.4%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    34.6%
  • VIC
    42.7%
  • QLD
    45.7%
  • SA
    86.7%
  • TAS
    109.9%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +38.1 GWh 2
NSW1-QLD1 −58.5 GWh 2
VIC1-NSW1 +11.8 GWh 9
V-SA +2.9 GWh 36
T-V-MNSP1 +11.2 GWh 0

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
317.8k tCO₂
▲ 16.2% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 100.0k tCO₂ 0.512 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 103.3k tCO₂ 0.506 tCO₂/MWh
SA 3.9k tCO₂ 0.088 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 108.0k tCO₂ 0.642 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 2.5k tCO₂ 0.070 tCO₂/MWh