NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Saturday 13 June 2026

Trading day 2026-06-13

Market Snapshot

Regional price divergence as southern states record significant negative intervals

Price outcomes showed a clear north-south divide with Tasmania and New South Wales maintaining positive pricing throughout the day. In contrast, South Australia and Victoria saw minimum prices drop to -$12.80/MWh and -$12.10/MWh respectively. Queensland recorded three negative intervals with an average price of $50.00/MWh.

Renewable generation reached an instantaneous peak of 68.0% at 11:55 AEST, supported by wind contributing 24.8% of total energy. Solar sources provided a combined 12.7% of the generation mix while hydro accounted for 6.2%. Batteries discharged 9,864 MWh to the grid, resulting in a net consumption of 2,900 MWh after charging.

System demand peaked at 8,924 MW in New South Wales and 7,265 MW in Queensland during the early evening. South Australia was the outlier with a midday peak of 1,791 MW coinciding with high solar output. Total daily energy consumption was highest in New South Wales at 350.2 GWh.

Frequency Control Ancillary Services saw a notable cost event in Tasmania with the RAISE6SEC service reaching $3,908/MWh. This contributed to a total daily cost for that specific service of $104,571 across two spike intervals. Other FCAS categories remained stable with minimal price volatility across the mainland regions.

Today · Forecasts indicate a peak price of $319.04/MWh in Queensland at 19:30 AEST with no current reserve alerts.

Why it matters · The daily average price of $43.20/MWh sits 36.2% below the weekly average, extending a volatile trend established over the last seven days. This lower price environment occurred despite coal maintaining a 50.7% share, as high wind penetration and battery activity offset the impact of evening demand peaks.

NSW $59VIC $38QLD $50SA $39TAS $69
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3-flash-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 -$10 $18 $45 $73 $100 -$10 $18 $45 $73 $100 -$10 $18 $45 $73 $100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 04:00 10:00 16:00 22:00 04:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $59 $61 $1 $97 0 0
QLD $50 $53 -$2 $98 3 0
SA $39 $40 -$13 $87 16 0
VIC $38 $40 -$12 $84 16 0
TAS $69 $69 $40 $79 0 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
8,924MW
17:35
Trough
6,086MW
11:45
Energy
350.2GWh
QLD
Peak
7,265MW
17:35
Trough
4,307MW
10:30
Energy
277.9GWh
SA
Peak
1,791MW
12:00
Trough
1,205MW
05:30
Energy
71.8GWh
VIC
Peak
6,678MW
17:35
Trough
4,084MW
04:20
Energy
262.6GWh
TAS
Peak
1,250MW
17:40
Trough
848MW
04:05
Energy
50.8GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$5,0760$1913 June, 14:55
LOWERREG$7830$513 June, 14:30
RAISE6SEC$1740$013 June, 16:30
RAISE60SEC$1360$013 June, 15:30
RAISE5MIN$500$013 June, 06:55
LOWER60SEC$410$013 June, 05:25
LOWER5MIN$250$013 June, 11:20
LOWER6SEC$110$013 June, 04:15
Total$6,295

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
LOWER60SEC$12,3970$613 June, 14:30
LOWER6SEC$10,9960$613 June, 07:55
RAISEREG$5,2340$1913 June, 14:55
LOWERREG$4,7290$813 June, 15:00
LOWER5MIN$2,7800$413 June, 15:05
RAISE6SEC$2520$013 June, 16:30
RAISE60SEC$1470$013 June, 16:30
RAISE5MIN$400$013 June, 06:55
Total$36,576

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$11,5700$1913 June, 14:55
LOWERREG$4,6840$513 June, 14:30
RAISE60SEC$2160$013 June, 15:30
RAISE6SEC$1900$013 June, 16:30
RAISE5MIN$580$013 June, 06:55
LOWER60SEC$250$013 June, 05:25
LOWER5MIN$120$013 June, 11:20
LOWER6SEC$30$013 June, 04:15
Total$16,758

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$5,8350$1913 June, 14:55
LOWERREG$3,7490$513 June, 14:30
RAISE6SEC$2620$013 June, 16:30
RAISE60SEC$2000$013 June, 15:30
RAISE5MIN$710$013 June, 06:55
LOWER60SEC$630$013 June, 05:25
LOWER5MIN$260$013 June, 11:20
LOWER6SEC$180$013 June, 04:15
Total$10,225

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISE6SEC$103,6932$3,90813 June, 06:15
LOWER6SEC$24,4530$4614 June, 00:15
RAISEREG$8,8850$513 June, 04:40
LOWERREG$6,3640$3414 June, 00:15
LOWER60SEC$2,9750$113 June, 04:05
RAISE60SEC$2,6540$314 June, 01:05
RAISE5MIN$5680$114 June, 00:30
LOWER5MIN$3960$313 June, 22:55
Total$149,987

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 423 MW at 18:00 as NSW spot hit $89/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,253 MW at 18:30 as QLD spot hit $81/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 570 MW at 19:30 as VIC spot hit $69/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 184 MW at 22:00 as SA spot hit $68/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 2,183 MW at 18:30 as TAS spot hit $70/MWh.

Discharged
1,253MWh
peak 423 MW · 18:00
Charged
5,075MWh
peak 1,306 MW
Net
-3,822MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
25%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
4,903MWh
peak 1,253 MW · 18:30
Charged
5,759MWh
peak 1,196 MW
Net
-856MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
85%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
2,653MWh
peak 570 MW · 19:30
Charged
1,021MWh
peak 191 MW
Net
+1,633MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
260%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
1,054MWh
peak 184 MW · 22:00
Charged
909MWh
peak 269 MW
Net
+145MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
116%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
9,864MWh
peak 2,183 MW · 18:30
Charged
12,764MWh
peak 2,249 MW
Net
-2,900MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
77%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW-$50$0$50$10023:3006:3713:4520:5204:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1QLD
4,903MWh
-856
#2VIC
2,653MWh
+1,633
#3NSW
1,253MWh
-3,822
#4SA
1,054MWh
+145

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 62.7%
  • Coal62.7% · 109.2 GWh
  • Gas0.8% · 1.4 GWh
  • Hydro4.4% · 7.7 GWh
  • Wind15.1% · 26.3 GWh
  • Solar (utility)6.3% · 11.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)10.0% · 17.4 GWh
  • Battery0.7% · 1.3 GWh
TOP FUEL 53.8%
  • Coal53.8% · 99.5 GWh
  • Gas5.2% · 9.7 GWh
  • Hydro3.0% · 5.5 GWh
  • Wind13.1% · 24.1 GWh
  • Solar (utility)10.8% · 20.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)11.5% · 21.2 GWh
  • Battery2.7% · 4.9 GWh
TOP FUEL 53.6%
  • Coal53.6% · 91.6 GWh
  • Gas2.5% · 4.3 GWh
  • Hydro4.0% · 6.8 GWh
  • Wind35.3% · 60.2 GWh
  • Solar (utility)0.9% · 1.5 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)1.2% · 2.1 GWh
  • Battery1.6% · 2.7 GWh
  • Other0.9% · 1.6 GWh
TOP FUEL 70.4%
  • Gas20.9% · 7.6 GWh
  • Wind70.4% · 25.5 GWh
  • Solar (utility)1.1% · 0.4 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)4.3% · 1.6 GWh
  • Battery2.9% · 1.1 GWh
  • Other0.3% · 0.1 GWh
TOP FUEL 59.5%
  • Gas0.8% · 0.2 GWh
  • Hydro59.5% · 16.8 GWh
  • Wind39.1% · 11.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)0.7% · 0.2 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:008.4 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:009.4 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:008.5 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:001.9 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:001.4 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
31.1%
VIC · Daily renewable share
50.9%
QLD · Daily renewable share
44.2%
SA · Daily renewable share
73.3%
TAS · Daily renewable share
96.6%
Peak instantaneous
68.0%
at 11:55
Daily NEM-wide share
44.6%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    31.1%
  • VIC
    50.9%
  • QLD
    44.2%
  • SA
    73.3%
  • TAS
    96.6%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +19.6 GWh 14
NSW1-QLD1 −59.3 GWh 0
VIC1-NSW1 +53.2 GWh 0
V-SA −6.7 GWh 21
T-V-MNSP1 −1.4 GWh 0

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
301.9k tCO₂
▼ 12.2% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 97.3k tCO₂ 0.569 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 91.1k tCO₂ 0.493 tCO₂/MWh
SA 3.7k tCO₂ 0.102 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 109.7k tCO₂ 0.652 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 145 tCO₂ 0.005 tCO₂/MWh