Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the SA region on 15/10/2026

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Update to Market Notice 145570 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA region on 15/10/2026.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
-	MSL1: -44 MW 
-	MSL2: -319 MW 
-	MSL3: -534 MW 

The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period: 
From 1300 hrs to 1330 hrs 15/10/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be -51 MW at 1330 hrs.

Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data.

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