Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the SA Region on 15/10/2026

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the SA Region on 15/10/2026

AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA on 15/10/2026.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
-	MSL1: -44 MW 
-	MSL2: -319 MW 
-	MSL3: -534 MW 

The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1  threshold for the following period:
From 1200 hrs 15/10/2026 to 1400 hrs 15/10/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be -155 MW at 1330 hrs.

Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .

Manager NEM Real Time Operations