NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Tuesday 3 November 2026

Trading day 2026-11-03

Market Snapshot

South Australia records 18.5 negative price hours as NEM averages $89.8/MWh

New South Wales averaged $108.2/MWh and Queensland averaged $94.1/MWh, with neither region recording negative intervals. South Australia averaged $80.1/MWh alongside 18.5 hours of negative prices, while Victoria and Tasmania recorded 5.2 and 5.0 negative hours respectively. No regions recorded cap intervals during the day.

New South Wales recorded a peak demand of 8798 MW at 17:05, while Queensland peaked at 8286 MW at the same time. Coal accounted for 51.6 per cent of the generation mix, followed by rooftop solar at 15.5 per cent and utility solar at 10.9 per cent. Wind provided 10.4 per cent and hydro 6.9 per cent.

Batteries discharged 13,772 MWh with a net position of -8858 MWh. Total emissions were 314,518 tonnes of carbon dioxide, 1.0 per cent below the same weekday last week. FCAS costs were highest for the raise regulation service at $40,981, with no price spikes recorded.

AEMO issued a reserve notice for MT PASA at 15:27.

Today · Pre-dispatch forecasts indicate Queensland prices will peak at $204.17/MWh at 21:30.

In context · The NEM average price of $89.8/MWh was $12.8/MWh above the seven-day average, ranking third for the week. South Australia's average of $80.1/MWh was the highest for the region over the past seven days.

NSW $108VIC $85QLD $94SA $80TAS $81
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $38 $75 $113 $150 -$30 $23 $75 $128 $180 $0 $35 $70 $105 $140 -$50 $18 $85 $153 $220 -$30 $18 $65 $113 $160 05:00 11:00 17:00 23:00 05:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $108 $108 $26 $150 0 0
QLD $94 $95 $24 $132 0 0
SA $80 $127 -$54 $247 222 0
VIC $85 $92 -$44 $190 62 0
TAS $81 $86 -$47 $237 60 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
8,798MW
18:05
Trough
6,048MW
14:15
Energy
349.5GWh
QLD
Peak
8,286MW
18:05
Trough
5,132MW
12:05
Energy
316.6GWh
SA
Peak
1,516MW
20:55
Trough
17MW
13:20
Energy
43.4GWh
VIC
Peak
5,480MW
20:55
Trough
3,077MW
14:40
Energy
214.7GWh
TAS
Peak
1,183MW
20:05
Trough
787MW
14:00
Energy
48.0GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$8,0100$203 Nov, 16:40
LOWERREG$9050$103 Nov, 17:45
RAISE60SEC$2340$03 Nov, 08:45
RAISE6SEC$1980$03 Nov, 08:45
LOWER60SEC$1140$03 Nov, 15:10
RAISE5MIN$510$03 Nov, 06:35
LOWER5MIN$480$03 Nov, 16:00
LOWER6SEC$460$03 Nov, 15:25
Total$9,607

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
LOWER6SEC$12,6880$153 Nov, 12:00
RAISEREG$9,3990$203 Nov, 16:40
LOWER60SEC$9,3210$93 Nov, 12:00
LOWERREG$3,7910$103 Nov, 17:45
LOWER5MIN$1,5090$23 Nov, 12:05
RAISE6SEC$1430$03 Nov, 05:45
RAISE60SEC$1070$03 Nov, 05:35
RAISE5MIN$290$03 Nov, 06:35
Total$36,986

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$3,9670$203 Nov, 16:40
LOWERREG$1,4320$103 Nov, 17:45
RAISE60SEC$1810$03 Nov, 08:45
RAISE6SEC$1460$03 Nov, 08:45
LOWER60SEC$1020$03 Nov, 15:10
RAISE5MIN$620$03 Nov, 06:35
LOWER5MIN$320$03 Nov, 16:00
LOWER6SEC$290$03 Nov, 15:25
Total$5,951

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,5720$203 Nov, 16:40
LOWERREG$4,5170$103 Nov, 17:45
LOWER60SEC$2340$03 Nov, 15:10
RAISE60SEC$1970$03 Nov, 08:45
RAISE6SEC$1880$03 Nov, 08:45
LOWER5MIN$1040$03 Nov, 16:00
LOWER6SEC$790$03 Nov, 15:25
RAISE5MIN$470$03 Nov, 06:35
Total$9,937

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$15,0330$1183 Nov, 18:20
LOWERREG$6,9200$483 Nov, 13:05
RAISE6SEC$4,6670$1283 Nov, 07:10
RAISE60SEC$6160$03 Nov, 06:35
LOWER6SEC$1570$33 Nov, 08:00
LOWER60SEC$680$03 Nov, 07:55
RAISE5MIN$160$03 Nov, 07:30
LOWER5MIN$30$03 Nov, 07:55
Total$27,481

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 884 MW at 20:00 as NSW spot hit $107/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 814 MW at 21:00 as QLD spot hit $93/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 759 MW at 20:30 as VIC spot hit $154/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 462 MW at 20:30 as SA spot hit $193/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 2,739 MW at 20:00 as TAS spot hit $143/MWh.

Discharged
3,897MWh
peak 884 MW · 20:00
Charged
8,323MWh
peak 2,087 MW
Net
-4,426MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
47%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
4,744MWh
peak 814 MW · 21:00
Charged
6,403MWh
peak 1,628 MW
Net
-1,658MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
74%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
2,651MWh
peak 759 MW · 20:30
Charged
5,051MWh
peak 1,364 MW
Net
-2,401MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
52%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
2,480MWh
peak 462 MW · 20:30
Charged
2,853MWh
peak 454 MW
Net
-373MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
87%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
13,772MWh
peak 2,739 MW · 20:00
Charged
22,630MWh
peak 4,618 MW
Net
-8,858MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
61%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-6.0 GW-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW-$100$0$100$200$30000:3007:3714:4521:5205:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1QLD
4,744MWh
-1,658
#2NSW
3,897MWh
-4,426
#3VIC
2,651MWh
-2,401
#4SA
2,480MWh
-373

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 53.5%
  • Coal53.5% · 107.9 GWh
  • Gas0.9% · 1.9 GWh
  • Hydro3.5% · 7.1 GWh
  • Wind8.9% · 17.9 GWh
  • Solar (utility)15.7% · 31.8 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)15.5% · 31.3 GWh
  • Battery1.9% · 3.9 GWh
TOP FUEL 61.6%
  • Coal61.6% · 132.5 GWh
  • Gas1.6% · 3.5 GWh
  • Hydro2.3% · 5.0 GWh
  • Wind10.6% · 22.8 GWh
  • Solar (utility)9.8% · 21.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)11.8% · 25.5 GWh
  • Battery2.2% · 4.7 GWh
TOP FUEL 55.3%
  • Coal55.3% · 82.8 GWh
  • Gas1.2% · 1.8 GWh
  • Hydro5.2% · 7.8 GWh
  • Wind12.1% · 18.2 GWh
  • Solar (utility)9.8% · 14.6 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)14.6% · 21.8 GWh
  • Battery1.8% · 2.7 GWh
TOP FUEL 48.2%
  • Gas25.2% · 8.4 GWh
  • Wind15.9% · 5.3 GWh
  • Solar (utility)3.1% · 1.0 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)48.2% · 16.0 GWh
  • Battery7.5% · 2.5 GWh
TOP FUEL 87.8%
  • Gas0.9% · 0.2 GWh
  • Hydro87.8% · 23.5 GWh
  • Wind2.8% · 0.8 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)8.5% · 2.3 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0010.8 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0011.6 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:007.2 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:001.9 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:001.6 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
41.7%
VIC · Daily renewable share
47.0%
QLD · Daily renewable share
40.6%
SA · Daily renewable share
60.2%
TAS · Daily renewable share
95.3%
Peak instantaneous
66.5%
at 12:25
Daily NEM-wide share
43.3%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    41.7%
  • VIC
    47.0%
  • QLD
    40.6%
  • SA
    60.2%
  • TAS
    95.3%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +31.0 GWh 0 —
NSW1-QLD1 −31.7 GWh 6 —
VIC1-NSW1 +19.8 GWh 6 —
V-SA −16.5 GWh 2 —
T-V-MNSP1 +358 MWh 0 —

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
314.5k tCO₂
▼ 1.0% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 94.7k tCO₂ 0.466 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 117.5k tCO₂ 0.542 tCO₂/MWh
SA 4.2k tCO₂ 0.119 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 98.0k tCO₂ 0.654 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 159 tCO₂ 0.006 tCO₂/MWh