NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Sunday 23 August 2026

Trading day 2026-08-23

Market Snapshot

Renewables reach 74 percent instantaneous share as prices remain below weekly average

Average regional prices ranged from 41.80 dollars in Tasmania to 55.90 dollars in New South Wales, with all regions seeing maximums above 110 dollars. Negative pricing was widespread across the southern and northern regions, with Victoria, South Australia, and Tasmania each recording at least 100 negative intervals.

Coal remained the primary generation source at 52.1 percent, while the combined solar contribution from utility and rooftop sources reached 24.1 percent. Wind and hydro followed at 11.1 percent and 7.5 percent respectively, supporting an instantaneous renewable peak of 74 percent at 11:50.

Battery storage provided 2.8 percent of total dispatch, discharging 17,409 megawatt hours while maintaining a net consumption position of 2,833 megawatt hours. Total emissions for the day were 312,887 tonnes of carbon dioxide, representing a 6.3 percent decrease compared to the same day last week.

FCAS costs were relatively stable with no price spikes recorded across any service. The highest individual service cost was Raise Regulation in Tasmania at 35,864 dollars, while New South Wales saw the highest Lower Regulation costs at 17,264 dollars.

Today · Forward forecasts indicate a peak price of 319.04 dollars in Queensland at 19:30, with other regional peaks ranging from 61.84 to 145.00 dollars.

Why it matters · The daily average price sits 16.9 percent above the seven-day average, yet it breaks a two-day rising trend by retreating from the weekly high. This price softening occurred alongside a significant 6.3 percent drop in emissions and a high volume of negative intervals in four out of five regions.

NSW $56VIC $43QLD $42SA $44TAS $42
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3-flash-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
$0 $33 $65 $98 $130 -$10 $25 $60 $95 $130 -$10 $23 $55 $88 $120 -$10 $25 $60 $95 $130 -$10 $23 $55 $88 $120 04:00 10:00 16:00 22:00 04:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $56 $59 -$2 $122 2 0
QLD $42 $49 -$10 $114 188 0
SA $44 $56 -$8 $119 120 0
VIC $43 $49 -$9 $124 118 0
TAS $42 $44 -$6 $111 100 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
9,239MW
18:35
Trough
5,427MW
14:10
Energy
345.5GWh
QLD
Peak
7,359MW
18:20
Trough
3,314MW
10:50
Energy
259.2GWh
SA
Peak
1,612MW
19:20
Trough
260MW
12:10
Energy
51.5GWh
VIC
Peak
6,836MW
19:00
Trough
3,364MW
11:05
Energy
242.6GWh
TAS
Peak
1,363MW
18:10
Trough
847MW
02:30
Energy
53.1GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,7070$2023 Aug, 06:30
LOWERREG$9390$1023 Aug, 15:10
LOWER60SEC$3500$123 Aug, 15:10
LOWER5MIN$2020$023 Aug, 14:10
LOWER6SEC$1340$123 Aug, 14:25
RAISE60SEC$1240$023 Aug, 07:35
RAISE6SEC$1190$023 Aug, 07:35
RAISE5MIN$350$023 Aug, 06:05
Total$6,611

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$6,9210$2023 Aug, 06:30
LOWERREG$4,9490$1023 Aug, 15:10
LOWER60SEC$5050$123 Aug, 15:10
RAISE6SEC$3180$023 Aug, 07:35
RAISE60SEC$2970$023 Aug, 07:35
LOWER6SEC$1890$123 Aug, 14:25
LOWER5MIN$1200$023 Aug, 14:10
RAISE5MIN$370$023 Aug, 06:05
Total$13,336

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$9,8280$2023 Aug, 06:30
LOWERREG$3,7240$1023 Aug, 15:10
LOWER60SEC$6660$123 Aug, 15:10
RAISE60SEC$2850$023 Aug, 07:35
LOWER5MIN$2740$023 Aug, 14:10
LOWER6SEC$2500$123 Aug, 14:25
RAISE6SEC$2500$023 Aug, 07:35
RAISE5MIN$1000$023 Aug, 06:05
Total$15,375

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,1350$2023 Aug, 06:30
LOWERREG$3,9260$1023 Aug, 15:10
LOWER60SEC$4960$123 Aug, 15:10
RAISE6SEC$2460$023 Aug, 07:35
RAISE60SEC$2360$023 Aug, 07:35
LOWER6SEC$2030$123 Aug, 14:25
LOWER5MIN$1870$023 Aug, 14:10
RAISE5MIN$570$023 Aug, 06:05
Total$9,486

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$10,2730$4723 Aug, 04:40
LOWERREG$3,7270$724 Aug, 00:15
RAISE60SEC$5600$324 Aug, 00:05
RAISE6SEC$5080$023 Aug, 07:55
LOWER6SEC$1890$824 Aug, 00:15
LOWER60SEC$690$123 Aug, 14:10
RAISE5MIN$110$023 Aug, 07:55
LOWER5MIN$10$023 Aug, 14:10
Total$15,338

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,599 MW at 18:30 as NSW spot hit $85/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,458 MW at 18:30 as QLD spot hit $78/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,180 MW at 18:30 as VIC spot hit $88/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 446 MW at 19:30 as SA spot hit $85/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 4,627 MW at 18:30 as TAS spot hit $81/MWh.

Discharged
6,555MWh
peak 1,599 MW · 18:30
Charged
7,544MWh
peak 1,326 MW
Net
-989MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
87%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
4,805MWh
peak 1,458 MW · 18:30
Charged
6,283MWh
peak 1,347 MW
Net
-1,477MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
76%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
4,450MWh
peak 1,180 MW · 18:30
Charged
4,525MWh
peak 1,045 MW
Net
-75MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
98%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
1,599MWh
peak 446 MW · 19:30
Charged
1,890MWh
peak 404 MW
Net
-291MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
85%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
17,409MWh
peak 4,627 MW · 18:30
Charged
20,242MWh
peak 3,132 MW
Net
-2,833MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
86%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW6.0 GW-$50$0$50$100$15023:3006:3713:4520:5204:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1NSW
6,555MWh
-989
#2QLD
4,805MWh
-1,477
#3VIC
4,450MWh
-75
#4SA
1,599MWh
-291

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 57.2%
  • Coal57.2% · 115.0 GWh
  • Gas0.5% · 1.1 GWh
  • Hydro5.9% · 11.8 GWh
  • Wind5.4% · 10.9 GWh
  • Solar (utility)15.0% · 30.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)12.7% · 25.6 GWh
  • Battery3.3% · 6.6 GWh
TOP FUEL 58.6%
  • Coal58.6% · 112.7 GWh
  • Gas1.3% · 2.5 GWh
  • Hydro1.5% · 2.8 GWh
  • Wind9.8% · 18.9 GWh
  • Solar (utility)10.5% · 20.2 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)15.8% · 30.4 GWh
  • Battery2.5% · 4.8 GWh
TOP FUEL 61.8%
  • Coal61.8% · 91.0 GWh
  • Gas0.9% · 1.3 GWh
  • Hydro4.5% · 6.7 GWh
  • Wind10.7% · 15.7 GWh
  • Solar (utility)6.3% · 9.3 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)12.8% · 18.8 GWh
  • Battery3.0% · 4.4 GWh
TOP FUEL 41.9%
  • Gas23.6% · 9.1 GWh
  • Wind41.9% · 16.1 GWh
  • Solar (utility)5.6% · 2.1 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)24.8% · 9.5 GWh
  • Battery4.2% · 1.6 GWh
TOP FUEL 75.9%
  • Gas1.1% · 0.3 GWh
  • Hydro75.9% · 24.9 GWh
  • Wind19.4% · 6.3 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)3.7% · 1.2 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:0010.4 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:009.5 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:007.8 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:002.0 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
23:3005:3711:4517:5200:001.8 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
38.2%
VIC · Daily renewable share
36.1%
QLD · Daily renewable share
45.1%
SA · Daily renewable share
78.1%
TAS · Daily renewable share
104.2%
Peak instantaneous
74.0%
at 11:50
Daily NEM-wide share
43.0%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    38.2%
  • VIC
    36.1%
  • QLD
    45.1%
  • SA
    78.1%
  • TAS
    104.2%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +34.9 GWh 0
NSW1-QLD1 −38.7 GWh 0
VIC1-NSW1 +7.3 GWh 31
V-SA +3.1 GWh 22
T-V-MNSP1 −1.8 GWh 1

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
312.9k tCO₂
▼ 6.3% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 100.4k tCO₂ 0.491 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 99.7k tCO₂ 0.512 tCO₂/MWh
SA 4.1k tCO₂ 0.105 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 108.4k tCO₂ 0.729 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 218 tCO₂ 0.007 tCO₂/MWh