Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the SA Region on 08/11/2026

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Update to Market Notice 146030 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA region on 08/11/2026.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
- MSL1: -184 MW 
- MSL2: -534 MW 
- MSL3: -734 MW 
These advisory MSL thresholds include the updated export limit across the South Australia to New South Wales Interconnector (SNI).

The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1  threshold for the following period:
From 1000 hrs 08/11/2026 to 1500 hrs 08/11/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be -318 MW at 1230 hrs.

Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .

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